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ASPI suggests

Posted By on May 6, 2016 @ 15:28

OLYMPUS DIGITAL CAMERAWe’ve not heard a great deal from senior figures in Tokyo’s political establishment about Australia’s decision to partner with France for the SEA 1000 project. That all changed this week when CSIS’s Japan Chair Michael Green hosted a high-level, cross-party coterie from the Japanese Diet. The group, which included two of Japan’s former Defence Ministers and one former Foreign Minister, convened for a chat on the next steps for US–Japan security cooperation [1]—an engaging presentation on its own (1 hour 24 minutes). But what’s more compelling for Australian viewers is a Q&A exchange near the end of the event. See here [2] for the question on our submarine decision, and hang tight for the (translated) smackdown answer that follows.

Dan Drezner’s latest [3] includes a tasty morsel on the unseen 2011 tussle between Hillary Clinton and Tom Donilon as they sought to claim parentage of America’s new-and-improved Asia policy—the policy formally known as the pivot. Drezner then introduces a game that everyone can play at home: coining your own foreign policy doctrine. All you need is an adjective and a noun, with a ‘neo’ added to taste. Et voilà.

Donald J. Trump’s emergence as presumptive victor [4] in the Republican Party’s primary battle marked the denouement of a brutal and bruising period for the GOP. In response, a stunned commentariat has swiftly shifted gears to more urgently consider what Trump would mean for republicanism, conservatism, democracy, executive government, and America at home and abroad.

The Atlantic ran David Frum asking ‘where to next for the GOP?’ [5], and Molly Ball on the day the Party was changed forever [6]. In The New York Times, Ross Douthat pondered the trumping of true conservatism [7], and Evan Thomas called on the foreign policy elite to step up [8]. This piece [9] in New York magazine couches President Trump as an ‘extinction-level event’(!) for democracy, begetting tyranny. Some argue that the demographics aren’t on Trump’s side [10]; others are pulling back the curtain on what President Trump’s first 100 days [11] at 1400 Pennsylvania Avenue might look like. FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver has a useful reflection [12] on how The Donald racked up the votes to wrap up the nomination. Keeping one eye trained on Politifact’s Trump file [13] probably isn’t a bad idea as we move to and through July’s GOP convention in Cleveland. Hold onto your hats.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has become a darling of the West since his elevation to the top job in May 2014. Barack Obama even profiled [14] Modi for Time’s Influential People issue last year, which could be seen as an incredible about-face—Modi had been banned from the US for the preceding decade for ‘severe violations of religious freedom’ [15]. A long-read feature from The New Republic takes a different tone to much of the commentary we’ve consumed on Modi, drawing on darkness to paint Modi as India’s ‘silent, lonely, aloof, admired, and unloved leader’ [16]—the ‘anti-Gandhi’.

Lifelong learning is something we can get behind here at The Strategist, so we were keen to see the launch of Brookings 101 [17], a series of educational courses out from the famed DC think tank. There are four offerings so far, covering off US government debt, the Islamic State, Primaries and Politics 101 and Vladimir Putin 101. Get swotting—there’ll be a test later.

Two foreign policy caffeine hits for your weekend: first, a dive into the uninspired, risk-and-narrative-adverse world of NATO speechwriting [18]; second, fresh from The New York Times Magazine comes an engrossing profile [19] on Obama’s foreign policy point man, Ben Rhodes.

Finally, the Stimson Centre is running an international student essay competition [20] to encourage new thinking on non-proliferation of weapons of mass-destruction, in support of UNSC1540 [21]. Up for grabs is a trip to Cambridge, Massachusetts, some cash and the chance to be published by Stimson.

Podcasts

In Episode Two of the US State Department’s podcast, the Historian of the State Department, Stephen Randolf, talks through the history of US ambassadors [22] (23 mins). This related podcast on diplomatic immunity [23] is an older effort from the always-entertaining How Stuff Works team (41 mins).

Special Relationship [24] is a shiny new podcast jointly-presented by British title The Economist and American ‘new media’ outfit Mic, focusing on issues and themes of the US presidential race. The first episode covers off terrorism and national security [25]. We suspect that it’ll fast become a must-listen.

Video

The 2001 documentary First Kill is a sobering journey through the horrors of the Vietnam War and the challenges faced by vets upon their return to the US as they scrambled to process what they’d seen and done. War correspondents are also called on for their testimony, one of whom is Michael Herr, the author of Dispatches [26] and a screenwriter for Kubrick’s Full Metal Jacket. The full doco is up on YouTube [27] (1 hour 13 minutes).

Events

Canberra: Don’t miss the ANU’s Amin Saikal and Georgetown’s Cynthia P. Schneider in conversation with Mark Kenny on US Middle East policy under President Obama and the avenues that remain open to his successor. Here’s what you need to know [28] about the 10 May event.

The AIIA’s ACT Branch has teamed up with the ANU’s Coral Bell School to pull together a strong panel to explore Myanmar’s political transition following the country’s historic November 2015 elections. Mark your calendar for 11 May, and register online [29] for this free event.

Sydney: Head to the University of Sydney Law School on 17 May [30] to hear a discussion about how climate change and renewable energy policy is developing in China.



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URLs in this post:

[1] next steps for US–Japan security cooperation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZuxUZqhDNR8

[2] here: https://youtu.be/ZuxUZqhDNR8?t=1h8m50s

[3] Dan Drezner’s latest: https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2016/05/04/create-your-own-foreign-policy-doctrine/?hpid=hp_hp-cards_no-name%3Ahomepage%2Fcard

[4] presumptive victor: http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-36200431

[5] ‘where to next for the GOP?’: http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/04/what-comes-next/480249/

[6] the day the Party was changed forever: http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/05/the-day-the-republican-party-died/481176/

[7] the trumping of true conservatism: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/04/opinion/campaign-stops/the-defeat-of-true-conservatism.html?emc=edit_ty_20160504&nl=opinion&nlid=73564828

[8] the foreign policy elite to step up: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/04/opinion/why-we-need-a-foreign-policy-elite.html

[9] This piece: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/04/america-tyranny-donald-trump.html

[10] the demographics aren’t on Trump’s side: https://theconversation.com/president-trump-not-likely-58758

[11] President Trump’s first 100 days: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/05/us/politics/donald-trump-president.html

[12] useful reflection: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-republican-voters-decided-on-trump/

[13] Politifact’s Trump file: http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/

[14] profiled: http://time.com/3823155/narendra-modi-2015-time-100/

[15] ‘severe violations of religious freedom’: http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702303380004579520041301275638

[16] ‘silent, lonely, aloof, admired, and unloved leader’: https://newrepublic.com/article/133014/new-face-india-anti-gandhi

[17] the launch of Brookings 101: http://www.brookings.edu/about/brookings-101

[18] uninspired, risk-and-narrative-adverse world of NATO speechwriting: http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/05/01/nato-speeches-rasmussen-russia-afghanistan-trump/

[19] an engrossing profile: http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/05/08/magazine/the-aspiring-novelist-who-became-obamas-foreign-policy-guru.html

[20] an international student essay competition: http://www.stimson.org/content/unscr-1540-international-student-essay-contest#6

[21] UNSC1540: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Nations_Security_Council_Resolution_1540

[22] the history of US ambassadors: https://soundcloud.com/statedept/history-of-us-ambassadors?in=statedept/sets/meet-the-ambassador

[23] This related podcast on diplomatic immunity: http://www.stuffyoushouldknow.com/podcasts/deal-diplomatic-immunity/

[24] Special Relationship: https://www.acast.com/specialrelationship

[25] terrorism and national security: https://www.acast.com/specialrelationship/-1-terrorismandnationalsecurity

[26] Dispatches: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dispatches_(book)

[27] up on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0m573MxXXw

[28] Here’s what you need to know: https://www.eventbrite.com.au/e/us-middle-east-policy-under-president-obama-and-his-successor-tickets-25096318765?ref=enivtefor001&invite=MTAwOTQ4MzcvZGF2aWRtYXNvbmxhbmdAZ21haWwuY29tLzA%3D&utm_source=eb_email&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=inviteformalv2&utm_term=eventpage

[29] online: http://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/events/myanmar-political-transition/

[30] on 17 May: http://whatson.sydney.edu.au/events/published/climate-change-and-renewable-energy-chinese-perspectives-and-policies

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