What does it mean to be a professional futurist, and what does it take to be a good one? For Florence Gaub, research director of NATO’s Defense College, it’s not about predicting the future, but …
Defence’s role remains paramount in delivering national security, but hybrid threats, cyber security and access to space-based services are not problems for the military alone to solve. At ASPI’s annual defence conference on 4 June, …
By any measure, China’s four main choices for forcing unification with Taiwan—subversion, quarantine, blockade, or invasion—would all have far-reaching consequences for Beijing and the wider Indo-Pacific. While the scenarios vary in intensity, they share outcomes: …
If China decides to dramatically accelerate unification with Taiwan—whether through subversion, quarantine, blockade or full-scale invasion—the first 24 hours will be pivotal. But they will hardly be the end. Taiwan will fight back. Whatever course …
At first, it may not be easy to see what’s afoot. The difference between China’s routine coercion of Taiwan and early signs of serious escalation to take control of the island may not be clear. …




