National security wrap
Posted By
Neal Reddan and Edward Boettcher
on August 11, 2016 @ 13:29
The Beat
Darknet rising
A new
RAND report has found that the dark web’s illicit drug trade is booming despite attentive law enforcement and persistent fraud in online marketplaces. Following
Silk Road’s closure in 2013 cryptomarkets fragmented and spawned a number of short-lived successors. Amid
police takedowns and
exit scams, transactions have
tripled while revenues have doubled. At an estimated monthly turnover of US$12–21.1 million, online platforms remain a niche medium compared to the US$2.3 billion raked in by offline markets. Nonetheless, there’s room for continued growth in online illicit drug trade, especially if established
cartels were to try their hand at building new digital supply networks. Creative workarounds, such as
OpenBazaar’s decentralised peer-to-peer network, may continue to frustrate law enforcement efforts in a similar vein as online digital piracy.
Duterte Harry feels lucky
Philippine President Duterte continues his hard-line campaign against illicit drugs and public corruption. On Sunday, Duterte named over
150 officials—including police, mayors, judges and military personnel—allegedly linked to the drug trade, and gave them 24 hours to surrender to the authorities. Nearly 50 individuals listed have since
turned themselves in. In a
Tuesday follow-up the President threatened to
impose martial law and wage ‘constitutional war’ against the Philippine judiciary should it interfere in his efforts to eradicate the
Philippine’s drug problem.
CT Scan
More in Pakistan
It has been a big week for CT watchers, with more acts of terrorism carried out in
Belgium and
Quetta, and a
foiled plot a little closer to home. Two articles over at
The Diplomat explore what the Quetta attack
means for Pakistani authorities and the links between the attacks claimants,
Jamaat-ul-Ahrar and ISIS. For an understanding of how the Islamic State indoctrinates its new recruits, see Jacob Olidort’s recent
report (PDF) for the Washington Institute.
Financing summit kicks off in Bali
The
2016 Counter-Terrorism Financing Summit, co-hosted by AUSTRAC and Indonesia’s Transaction Reports and Analysis Center, continues in Bali today. Check out the partnership’s 2016 regional risk assessment
here (PDF). Recently, Australia’s been taking steps to curb terrorist financing, particularly in the online world—including pushing to
regulate the online currency bitcoin, and forming a
new cyber team within AUSTRAC.
Right-wing extremism
Australian authorities moved on Saturday against
a Melbourne man affiliated with right-wing movement Reclaim Australia. Phillip Galea was previously charged after police found mercury, Tasers, and instructions for manufacturing explosives in November
last year. With all the media attention on Islamist extremism, are we missing another threat?—RUSI argue in their
Lone-Actor Terrorism Report (PDF) that ‘right-wing extremists represent a substantial aspect of the lone-actor threat and must not be overlooked’.
Checkpoint
Syrian refugees continue to flow
A recent study published in the
Washington Quarterly outlines
five policy options to tackle the ongoing Syrian Refugee Crisis. The grimly titled ‘
The Syrian Refugee Crisis: Bad and Worse Options’ takes stock of Syria’s bleak situation noting that the civil war has produced 6 million refugees, which is approximately 40% of the world’s 15 million refugees. Over the past five years more than half the country’s pre-war population of 21.5 million has been displaced with millions fleeing to nearby
Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan, Egypt and even Iraq. The report’s proposed solutions run the gamut from opening up borders, increasing humanitarian aid, establishing ‘safe zones’, resolving the war or simply closing ‘the gates’. The authors conspicuously rule out the West’s present inertia on moral and strategic grounds—hence the ‘worst option’.
And the winner is…
Defence electronics company Elbit Systems of America (a subsidiary of an Israeli-based parent company) has taken out the
top gong in the Government Security News’ annual border security awards. Elbit System’s Integrated Fixed Tower technology tracks and identifies items of interest along the US–Mexico border allowing border security forces to respond to incursions. The company’s initial deployment was in the Nogales Arizona Area of Responsibility, which has recently seen
multiple drug seizures.
First Responder
Zika heads north
Zika has been making headlines again after an
outbreak in Florida last week, with at least 21 infected. Alex Thompson, writing for
VICE, notes that states that could be hit hardest (Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Texas) possess some of the most
restrictive abortion laws—‘if Zika spreads in the coming months, many pregnant women could be compelled to give birth to children with severe brain impairment unless they can afford to travel to a more permissive state’. On the counterpunch front,
researchers from Harvard and the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research have made some progress with a Zika vaccine, carrying out
successful animal trials.
Going for gold
Staying in the Northern hemisphere, Craig Welch in a report for
National Geographic catalogues some of the
dangers of a warming Pacific Ocean, including ‘the blob’—a patch of warm water disrupting the ecosystem along the American West Coast. The dangers of rising temperature and sea levels
took centre stage at the Olympic opening ceremony on Friday, with several performances dedicated to raising awareness of the issue.
Closer to home, the ACT government has released its climate change adaption strategy, ‘
Living with a Warming Climate’, outlining a three-pronged approach to tackle climate change: considering climate impacts for essential services, proactively building resilience, and promoting understanding across communities.
Neal Reddan and Edward Boettcher are ANU research interns at ASPI.
Article printed from The Strategist: https://www.aspistrategist.org.au
URL to article: https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/national-security-wrap-33/
[1] RAND report: http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_briefs/RB9900/RB9925/RAND_RB9925.pdf
[2] Silk Road’s closure in 2013: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-10-03/online-marketplace-silk-reoad-closed-after-proprietor-arrested/4995088
[3] police takedowns: https://www.wired.com/2014/11/operation-onymous-dark-web-arrests/
[4] exit: http://www.forbes.com/sites/andygreenberg/2013/12/01/silk-road-competitor-shuts-down-and-another-plans-to-go-offline-after-6-million-theft/#58a1fe7b20f6
[5] scams: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2015/mar/18/bitcoin-deep-web-evolution-exit-scam-12-million-dollars
[6] tripled: https://twitter.com/RANDCorporation/status/763106335659401216/photo/1
[7] cartels: http://www.economist.com/news/international/21702176-drug-trade-moving-street-online-cryptomarkets-forced-compete
[8] OpenBazaar’s: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OpenBazaar
[9] 150 officials: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/08/world/asia/duterte-philippine-president-links-150-public-servants-to-drugs.html?_r=0
[10] turned themselves: http://edition.cnn.com/2016/08/08/asia/duterte-war-on-drugs-officials-surrender/
[11] Tuesday follow-up: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z-DbGLEdnQU
[12] impose martial law: http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/08/duterte-threatens-martial-law-drug-war-blocked-160805170518830.html
[13] Philippine’s drug problem: http://www.ddb.gov.ph/research-statistics/46-sidebar/58-facts-on-drugs
[14] Belgium: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/belgium-machete-isis-claims-responsibility-for-attack-police-officers-a7177441.html
[15] Quetta: http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/08/pakistan-blast-quetta-hospital-lawyer-killed-160808050839643.html
[16] foiled plot: http://edition.cnn.com/2016/08/05/asia/indonesia-terror-plot-arrests/index.html
[17] means for Pakistani authorities: http://thediplomat.com/2016/08/the-quetta-attack-exposes-pakistans-misplaced-counterterrorism-priorities/
[18] Jamaat-ul-Ahrar and ISIS: http://thediplomat.com/2016/08/what-quetta-bombing-reveals-about-islamic-state-and-pakistani-taliban/
[19] report: http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/uploads/Documents/pubs/PolicyFocus147-Olidort.pdf
[20] 2016 Counter-Terrorism Financing Summit: http://www.austrac.gov.au/about-us/international-engagement/counter-terrorism-financing-summit-2016
[21] here: http://www.austrac.gov.au/sites/default/files/regional-risk-assessment-SMALL.pdf
[22] regulate: http://www.smh.com.au/world/australia-to-regulate-bitcoin-under-counterterrorism-finance-laws-20160808-gqnne2.html
[23] new cyber team: https://www.ministerjustice.gov.au/Mediareleases/Pages/2016/ThirdQuarter/New-cyber-team-to-target-terrorism-financing-and-financial-crime.aspx
[24] a Melbourne man: https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/aug/08/using-terror-laws-on-alleged-rightwing-extremist-a-federal-first-says-minister
[25] last year: http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/reclaim-australia-member-phillip-galea-jailed-for-possessing-tasers-and-mercury-20151120-gl46tj.html
[26] Lone-Actor Terrorism Report: https://rusi.org/sites/default/files/201604_clat_final_report.pdf
[27] five policy options: https://www.brookings.edu/2016/08/05/5-policy-options-for-the-syrian-refugee-crisis/
[28] The Syrian Refugee Crisis: Bad and Worse Options: https://twq.elliott.gwu.edu/sites/twq.elliott.gwu.edu/files/downloads/TWQ_Summer2016_Byman-Speakman.pdf
[29] Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan, Egypt and even Iraq: https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2016/02/syrias-refugee-crisis-in-numbers/
[30] top gong: http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/elbit-systems-of-americas-integrated-fixed-tower-program-named-most-notable-border-security-program-589447131.html
[31] multiple: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/local-media-release/2016-08-09-000000/nogales-cbp-officers-uncover-almost-301k-drugs
[32] drug: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/local-media-release/2016-08-05-000000/nogales-cbp-officers-seize-nearly-381k-drugs
[33] seizures: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/local-media-release/2016-08-03-000000/more-12-million-hard-drugs-seized-nogales
[34] outbreak: http://abcnews.go.com/Health/zika-virus-cases-reported-florida-outbreak/story?id=41243403
[35] restrictive abortion laws: https://news.vice.com/article/zika-is-about-to-hit-states-with-the-most-restrictive-abortion-laws-in-the-us
[36] researchers: http://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2016/08/03/science.aah6157.full
[37] successful animal trials: http://www.popsci.com.au/science/medicine/three-zika-vaccines-show-success-in-animal-models-,432941
[38] dangers of a warming Pacific Ocean: http://www.nationalgeographic.com/magazine/2016/09/warm-water-pacific-coast-algae-nino/
[39] took centre stage: http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/olympics-ceremony-shines-spotlight-on-climate-change/
[40] Living with a Warming Climate’: http://www.environment.act.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/912478/ACT-Climate-Change-Adaptation-Strategy.pdf