- The Strategist - https://www.aspistrategist.org.au -
Maintaining a steady path on Iran
Posted By Tanya Ogilvie-White on May 24, 2013 @ 16:45
On 22 May, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) released a new report on Iran’s nuclear activities. Nothing in it was particularly shocking, but like the many similar reports that preceded this one, it’s a stark reminder of the international community’s failure to halt Iran’s nuclear progress, despite over 10 years of diplomatic and covert efforts. According to technical experts, despite a series of UN Security Council sanctions and other autonomous sanctions imposed by individual states, Iran has made progress across the board in its nuclear program. It has stepped up the pace of uranium enrichment, increased the volume of material that it is enriching to a higher level (not quite weapons grade, but most of the way there), and is pushing ahead with a program to produce plutonium. At the same time, satellite photos indicate that Iran is trying to conceal evidence that it conducted nuclear weapon-relevant experiments at a site in Parchin. Amid these revelations, diplomats working at IAEA headquarters in Vienna have been quietly sharing their concerns, warning that Iran has significantly reduced the time it would need to produce a crude nuclear device.
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[1] Image: http://www.aspistrategist.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Iaea-vienna.jpg
[2] new report: http://www.isisnucleariran.org/assets/pdf/IAEA_Iran_Safeguards_report_--_22May2013.pdf
[3] progress across the board: http://www.isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/ISIS_Analysis_IAEA_Safeguards_Report_22May2013.pdf
[4] weapon-relevant experiments: http://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/Parchin_paving_22May2013.pdf
[5] Australia has taken a strong and consistent stand against Iran’s nuclear defiance: http://parlinfo.aph.gov.au/parlInfo/download/library/prspub/2429219/upload_binary/2429219.pdf;fileType=application/pdf
[6] UNSC Iran Sanctions Committee is Gary Quinlan: http://www.un.org/sc/committees/1737/
[7] Bob Carr: http://bobcarrblog.wordpress.com/2013/01/10/iran-sanctions/
[8] boycott the Conference of Disarmament: http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/canada-won-t-participate-in-un-disarmament-forum-while-iran-in-charge-1.1282350
[9] strongly reinforces proliferation pressures: http://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.266524
[10] exacerbates nuclear defiance: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/10736700903484702
[11] the case of South Africa: http://books.google.com.au/books?id=no5ZYw8AwkUC&pg=PA85&lpg=PA85&dq=slaying+the+nuclear+dragon+stephen+F+Burgess+south+africa+rollback+states&source=bl&ots=94LA9UTmtd&sig=z_6DrOliqTYKUO5638gCtBK_Rss&hl=en&sa=X&ei=MqyeUfqnBOrPiAeNtYCgAg&ved=0CDMQ6AEwAQ#v=onepage&q=slaying%20the%20nuclear%20dragon%20stephen%20F%20Burgess%20south%20africa%20rollback%20states&f=false
[12] unlikely to change very much: http://carnegieendowment.org/2013/04/02/iran-s-nuclear-odyssey-costs-and-risks/fvui
[13] risks would likely outweigh the benefits: http://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/IranReport_091112_FINAL.pdf
[14] Wikimedia Commons: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Iaea-vienna.JPG