China’s homegrown crisis

China’s economic reality, until recently, was nothing short of extraordinary. The nation’s annual economic output soared from under US$500 billion to US$18 trillion between 1992 and 2022, with years of double-digit growth pushing annual GDP …

Malicious AI arrives on the dark web

The development of artificial intelligence has progressed at an unprecedented pace over the past few months. While governments, industry, civil society and multilateral bodies alike deliberate how best to regulate it, nefarious non-state actors are …

Why is Germany’s far right surging?

Over the past two years, Germany’s largest far-right party, Alternative for Germany (AfD), has managed to consolidate the numerous splinter groups that comprise the country’s long-unsettled nationalist fringe. Defying its reputation for infighting and frequent …

Distance is Australia’s best defence asset

Paul Dibb’s critique of my Australian Foreign Affairs essay, ‘Target Australia: Is the alliance making us less safe?’, falls into three broad categories: the first is about China’s plans to strike Australia, the second about …

The five-domains update 

Sea state Australia is hosting Exercise Malabar, an Indo-Pacific military drill involving forces from India, Japan and the United States. This 27th iteration of Malabar aims to enhance interoperability among the regional partners. The Quad’s …

‘Impactful projection’—from land and sea

The 2023 defence strategic review has as its centrepiece the concept Defence Minister Richard Marles has defined as ‘impactful projection’. The goal is to defend Australia and its immediate region, and to ‘deter through denial’ …

Democracy on the brink in Africa

The new military governments across Central and Western Africa enjoy a surprising strength of public support, according to research published by the United Nations Development Programme two weeks before the latest coup in Niger. The UNDP had …