Rising geopolitical uncertainty and complexity demand new approaches to strategic planning, risk management and scenario planning. Traditional methods are becoming less useful for government agencies, organisations and businesses as trends become less reliable indicators of disruptive …
US President Donald Trump’s handling of the Iran crisis and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz underlines an old lesson: force without planning, consultation and legitimacy rarely ends well. History tells us that the …
Strategic surprise rarely occurs because there is no warning. Signals accumulate, intelligence reporting circulates and analysts identify emerging risks. Strategic surprise occurs when institutions cannot quickly integrate those signals to act on them. In a …
The Great Man theory of history, which posits that history is shaped mainly by hugely influential and singular individuals, was once the primary form of historical writing. It has largely fallen out of favour in …
The next National Defence Strategy (NDS), expected in early 2026, should deliver something Australia has long lacked: a strategic narrative that tells the public what truly matters to our security, what threatens it, and how …
