Xi Jinping’s latest purge of top military officers probably reduces the chance of China taking imminent, deliberate military action to seize Taiwan. But many interpretations of the event are possible, and some imply an increased …
Analysing China’s military activity around Taiwan often invites a simple question: what triggered it? Analysts tend to assume that spikes in aircraft sorties, naval deployments or coast guard operations must be a reaction to something …
While Taiwan’s drone manufacturing program looks ambitious, it is nowhere near ambitious enough, as combat experience in Ukraine is making clear. With the US-identified window when China will be capable of invading Taiwan just a …
A Chinese attempt at blockading or invading Taiwan in 2026 is unlikely. Instead, Beijing is likely to persist with its toolkit of coercive actions to erode Taiwan’s will and narrow its strategic options. President Xi …
Indonesia’s military force development needs to prioritise capabilities required to enforce neutrality in a Taiwan contingency. Without persistent surveillance and the ability to remain on task over extended periods, the country’s long-standing policy of neutrality …




