Beijing has temporarily adjusted how its military operates across the Indo-Pacific. This includes less aggressive behaviour from flotillas sailing deep into the region and its military engagements inside the first island chain. But it’s a …
By decisively consolidating his personal power, President Xi Jinping’s latest purge of senior military leadership increases strategic risk for Australia and the rest of the Indo-Pacific. The investigation of two of China’s most senior military …
A Chinese attempt at blockading or invading Taiwan in 2026 is unlikely. Instead, Beijing is likely to persist with its toolkit of coercive actions to erode Taiwan’s will and narrow its strategic options. President Xi …
Debate over the Pukpuk treaty has focused on China and whether Australia’s military might one day use Papua New Guinea’s geography or fight alongside PNG forces in a regional contingency involving Beijing and Washington. But …
Australia and Papua New Guinea’s Pukpuk Treaty is not just about keeping China at arm’s length. It’s also about long-term investment in PNG’s stability, strengthening its defence capacity, enhancing crisis response and addressing demographic and …
It feels like we’re now living with a steady drumbeat of activity from China’s military that captures headlines and keeps analysts busy trying to figure out what it all means. Beijing’s latest offering, the 3 …
Australia’s military relationship with China is now defined by strategic competition and opposing objectives. The days of friendly port visits, personnel exchanges and survival exercises are over. As tensions grow, even dialogue with China’s military …
This week ASPI launched Pressure Points, an interactive website that analyses the Chinese military’s use of air and maritime coercion to enforce Beijing’s excessive territorial claims and advance its security interests in the Indo-Pacific. The …
China’s deployment of a potent surface action group around Australia over the past two weeks is unprecedented but not unique. Over the past few years, China’s navy has deployed a range of vessels in Australia’s …
Australia can take three lessons from Chinese military behaviour in the past two weeks. China will keep conducting dangerous military manoeuvres against us and other countries in the South China Sea; its actions will continue …
Despite China’s rapid military improvements, it’s unlikely to use large-scale force against Taiwan in 2025. The Chinese leadership’s concerns over the quality of military command, economic weakening, uncertain social stability and effects of the Trump …
Originally published on 22 October 2024. Deployments of ships and aircraft to challenge China’s illegal claims in the South China Sea are increasing. European ships are appearing more often, while Asia-Pacific countries are increasingly conducting …











