‘Tragic but distinguishable postwar states’

As some readers will probably recognise, the title of this post is a phrase drawn from Herman Kahn’s On thermonuclear war, one of the more depressing texts of the 20th century. Kahn, writing in 1960 …

ASPI suggests

Welcome back to ASPI suggests. This week’s unsolicited advice is to never use all your A-material on the first try—just in case you’re invited to perform once again. On Monday, North Korea test-launched a second …

Pakistan’s soft coup

Pakistan’s prime minister Nawaz Sharif was ousted from office on 28 July for the third time, not because he lost an election but because of the intervention of non-parliamentary institutions in the political process. He …

ASEAN at 50: a view from Singapore

We live in troubled times, with pessimism clouding even the most prosperous parts of the planet. Many are convinced that the international order is falling apart. Some fear that a clash of civilizations is imminent, …

A post-America world?

After last year’s shock US election result, many critics of Donald Trump had hoped he would grow into the presidency and heed its reasonable conventions. Not so. After more than six months, his administration has been …

Freedom of navigation patrols, China and the West

Freedom of navigation patrols have become a high-profile component of the West’s opposition to Beijing’s territorial claims in the South China Sea. But freedom of navigation isn’t really the core interest. Navigators have no difficulty …

Big data in national security

Big-data analytics and machine-learning algorithms have been key drivers for a number of high-profile developments over the past year. Data was used by Google DeepMind’s AlphaGo first to smash through the AI winter, and then …

The West needs to talk about Russia

The place Russia occupies in the political maelstrom in Washington, the recent sanctions bills in Congress and Putin’s cuts to the American diplomatic presence in Russia are driving the US’s relationship—and hence the West’s relationship—with …

A North Korean ICBM is a danger, not a game changer

North Korea’s determination to acquire an intercontinental missile capability continues to alarm US officials and experts. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson noted that last week’s missile test—now acknowledged to be an ICBM—‘represents a new escalation …

Cyber wrap

It’s been a big week in cybersecurity. The twin giants of #infosec conferences, Black Hat and DEF CON, has just wrapped up in Las Vegas, and a DefCon Beijing beta event has been announced. The …

Germany’s new power of the purse

Last week, German Foreign Minister Sigmar Gabriel interrupted his holiday on the North Sea to respond to Turkey’s jailing of a German human-rights activist. Gabriel warned German tourists about the dangers of visiting Turkey, and …

Trump: As the world turns

If you are having trouble keeping up with the story, here’s what happened since the last episode of White House Days of Our Lives: The Mooch lasted barely 10 days as White House communications director …