Replacing the Rhino

The 2016 Defence White Paper (DWP16) signals that ‘options to replace the Super Hornets in the late 2020s will be considered in the early 2020s in the light of developments in technology and the strategic …

US strategic policy and public opinion

In the wake of the first presidential debate, we’ve settled into the political trivia season: did Trump have the sniffles? But there are much larger questions at stake. For example, are we about to see …

National security wrap

The Beat Mexican narco-crime surging The latest data released by the Government of President Enrique Peña Nieto indicates that Mexico’s counter-narcotics strategy is stalling amid declining law enforcement results, rising illicit drug production, and increasing …

Trump versus the West

In less than 50 days, we will know who the next president of the United States will be. Though Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton has a lead in national opinion polls, it’s narrowed to a near-tie, …

Arctic dreams

The Arctic is a region where great power competition will play out in coming years. Russia has significant strategic and economic interests in the region, and for China the Arctic may prove to have important …

Some thoughts on strategy

­ ‘Strategy’ is one of those words that’s used so widely and in so many different contexts that it often seems to generate confusion. That doesn’t need to be the case, as the nature of …

French presence in the Pacific reinforced by the PIF

France strengthened its South Pacific presence during the 47th Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) earlier this month, with New Caledonia and French Polynesia becoming full members of the organisation. This double integration, supported by Australia, constitutes …

Demining Colombia

The war between Colombia and the FARC rebel group is over. After four years of negotiating, on 26 September in Cartagena both sides shook hands and bid farewell to the longest-running conflict in the western …

We’ll be back tomorrow…

Those of us in the bush capital are enjoying a public holiday today, but we’ll be back tomorrow with our usual program of commentary and analysis. Until then, catch up with Friday’s ASPI suggests; Matt Rainbow’s riposte …

ASPI suggests

While we’re not in the business of creating safe spaces or slapping trigger warnings on our recommendations, it’s necessary to recognise that there’s no easy way to make this feature a Trump-free zone. It’s just …

It’s the supply chain… dummy!

A complex network of interconnected supply chains keep Australia fed, fuelled, and functioning. But recent changes to Australia’s energy supply chain mean they’re increasingly vulnerable to disruption. Australia, like most advanced economies, relies on a …

Duterte plays poker

The Philippines under President Rodrigo Duterte’s erratic foreign and defence policy is lurching from one foreign policy crisis to the next. There’s deepening concern about extrajudicial killings that are piling bodies up and tarnishing the …

National security wrap

The Beat Petrobas probe deepens Former Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is the latest high-profile politician facing prosecution for his role in the evolving Petrobas corruption scandal. On Tuesday, Judge Sérgio Moro, a …