- The Strategist - https://www.aspistrategist.org.au -
The end of the old order shakes Australia’s grand strategy
Posted By Graeme Dobell on March 1, 2021 @ 06:00
It was based on liberal values like Australia’s own, structured around multilateral institutions, on which Australia was represented, and underpinned by the dominant power of the United States. American support for open international trade helped drive unprecedented global growth, while its network of alliances in Europe and Asia provided a stable security framework.
Proportion of Australians who viewed China positively in 2017: 68%
Proportion who view China positively today: 15%
Australian exports to China in 2018–19: $153.2 billion.
Value of exports currently subject to Chinese sanctions: $19.4 billion.
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URL to article: https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/the-end-of-the-old-order-shakes-australias-grand-strategy/
[1] baling-wire diplomacy: https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/oz-baling-wire-diplomacy/
[2] Scott Morrison: https://www.pm.gov.au/media/press-conference-australian-parliament-house-act-230221
[3] statements: https://www1.defence.gov.au/sites/default/files/2020-11/2020_Defence_Strategic_Update.pdf
[4] since the 1930s and the early 1940s: https://www.pm.gov.au/media/address-launch-2020-defence-strategic-update
[5] more contested and apprehensive: https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/government-focuses-on-strategic-shaping-as-dfat-drops-soft-power-review/
[6] Allan Gyngell: https://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/australianoutlook/the-year-ahead/
[7] grieving process: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Five_stages_of_grief
[8] Donald Trump’s rampage: https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/turnbull-on-trump-dystopia-and-deals/
[9] 2016 defence white paper: https://www.defence.gov.au/WhitePaper/Docs/2016-Defence-White-Paper.pdf
[10] 2017 foreign policy white paper: https://www.dfat.gov.au/publications/minisite/2017-foreign-policy-white-paper/fpwhitepaper/index.html
[11] statistics index: https://www.australianforeignaffairs.com/afaweekly/australian-foreign-affairs-annual-index-2020-edition
[12] Australian Foreign Affairs: https://www.australianforeignaffairs.com/essay/2021/02/the-march-of-autocracy
[13] 50% of Australian red wine exports: https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/why-aussie-exporters-won-t-be-toasting-china-or-us
[14] coercion: https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/designing-an-australian-grand-strategy-for-china/
[15] drove: https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/09/trumps-real-trade-war-is-being-waged-on-the-wto/
[16] a truck: https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/29074/after-the-trump-trade-wars-prepare-for-a-world-without-the-wto
[17] regional trade agreement: https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/rcep-will-redraw-the-economic-and-strategic-map-of-the-indo-pacific/
[18] Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership: https://www.dfat.gov.au/trade/agreements/negotiations/rcep
[19] ‘decoupling’ duel: https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/cultural-decoupling-from-china-will-hurt-the-us/
[20] Trans-Pacific Partnership: https://www.dfat.gov.au/trade/agreements/in-force/cptpp/comprehensive-and-progressive-agreement-for-trans-pacific-partnership
[21] Hayley Channer and Jeffrey Wilson: https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/expanding-cptpp-form-guide-prospective-members
[22] welcomed China’s CPTPP interest: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/australia-welcomes-china-interest-in-joining-tpp-20201123-p56h2s
[23] negotiations: https://theconversation.com/australia-has-a-great-chance-to-engage-in-trade-diplomacy-with-china-and-it-must-take-it-154737