The challenge of communist China

  The problem of dealing with a belligerent communist China is the geopolitical challenge of the age. Its favourable resolution will open the door to global amity. The alternative is enduring global instability, confrontation, and …

What the Weimar Triangle could do for Europe

In his speech at Sorbonne University in April, and again on his state visit to Germany in late May, French President Emmanuel Macron warned that Europe is confronting its own mortality. Caught between Vladimir Putin’s Russia, Xi Jinping’s China and, potentially, …

Old and new lessons from the Ukraine War

Two years ago, I outlined eight lessons from the Ukraine War. Though I warned that it was too early to be confident about any predictions, they have held up reasonably well. When Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered …

Letter from Taiwan: inauguration day 2024

The 20 May 2024 inauguration of Taiwan’s new president, Lai Ching-te, was an exuberant and giddy celebration of democracy. The square in front of the presidential office was filled—with performers dressed as food, dancers moving …

What the EU has done for its citizens

This month, hundreds of millions of voters will head to the polls for the European Parliament elections, and many will ask what the European Union has done for them since the last election, in 2019. …

Building the Indo-Pacific defence industry base

Indo-Pacific alliances and partnerships are a key advantage of the United States in competing with China. Now the United States seeks an economic version of that strategic advantage with a Statement of Principles for Indo-Pacific …

Asymmetry is more than technology

Australian defence policy’s reliance on technology for asymmetric advantage is mistaken. The advantage won’t last, and what the policy discusses isn’t asymmetric, anyway; it’s basically the idea of weapon overmatch. Asymmetric effect is more of an …

The high cost of GPT-4o

With the launch of GPT-4o, OpenAI has once again shown itself to be the world’s most innovative artificial-intelligence company. This new multimodal AI tool, which seamlessly integrates text, voice and visual capabilities, is significantly faster …