Bookshelf: the Baltic is NATO’s new front line

In July 1940, just days after the Soviet Union occupied Lithuania, Soviet foreign minister Vyacheslav Molotov warned the Lithuanian deputy prime minister that ‘in the future, small nations will have to disappear.’ The Baltic states …

Japan and Australia need a broad defence treaty

A comprehensive defence treaty between Japan and Australia is overdue. The 50th anniversary of the two countries’ Basic Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation, to be marked this year, should provide the occasion for signing an …

Wildcard scenarios: planning for the unpredictable

Rising geopolitical uncertainty and complexity demand new approaches to strategic planning, risk management and scenario planning. Traditional methods are becoming less useful for government agencies, organisations and businesses as trends become less reliable indicators of disruptive …

War in Iran: views in The Strategist

The war in Iran has just entered its second month. Supreme leader Ali Khamenei is dead, global fuel trade has stalled and the United States’ relationship with its allies is at a low. In this …